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Sea fog is a dangerous weather phenomenon that seriously affects maritime traffic and other operations at sea. Remote sensing satellites have the characteristics of wide coverage and continuous observation, and are widely used in research related to the sea fog identification. Traditional sea fog monitoring algorithms usually establish a single channel or multi-channel model to gradually separate the clear sky sea surface, medium and high clouds, and low clouds with the help of the differences of reflectivity or brightness-temperature distribution of clouds in different channel satellite cloud images, so as to finally achieve the purpose of identifying sea fog. Although this method has the advantages of being simple, efficient, and highly interpretable, its sea fog identification accuracy is usually low, and is susceptible to seasonal and regional influences. As the main method of deep learning, convolutional neural network has the advantages of strong feature learning ability and high prediction accuracy. It is widely used in cloud image related fields. Although many studies have transferred convolutional neural network to sea fog monitoring task, they are limited to daytime sea fog monitoring. It is more difficult to label sea fog because of the lack of visible wavelength data at night compared to daytime monitoring scenarios. In addition, convolutional neural network is "black box" in nature, i.e. it is difficult to explain their inference process in a reasonable way.
In order to make the recognition of sea fog with high accuracy and reasonable interpretability, the cloud-aerosol LiDAR with orthogonal polarization (CALIOP), which is capable of penetrating clouds and obtaining atmospheric profiles, was first used to annotate medium and high cloud, low cloud, sea fog, and clear sky sea surface samples. Then, bright temperature features and texture features were extracted for each type of sample in combination with multi-channel data from the Himawari-8 satellite. Finally, according to the needs of sea fog monitoring, the inference decision tree for sea fog monitoring was abstracted and a deep neural decision tree model was built accordingly, which achieves high accuracy for nighttime sea fog monitoring while having strong interpretability. The continuous observation data of Himawari-8 on the night of June 5, 2020 was selected to test the sea fog. The monitoring results can clearly show the dynamic development process of the sea fog events. At the same time, the proposed sea fog monitoring method has an average probability of detection (POD) of 87.32%, an average false alarm ratio (FAR) of 13.19%, and an average critical success index (CSI) of 77.36%, which provides a new method for disaster prevention and mitigation of heavy fog at sea.
Overall algorithm flow chart
An example of the model inference process
Sea fog identification result at UTC 18:20 on June 5, 2020 in the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea
The monitoring results of sea fog in the Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea from 15:00 to 20:00 UTC on June 5, 2020